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More than a quarter of US metros are still recovering from COVID-era job losses, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported. Today's job market amplifies fears of another recession, which some experts say could hit as soon as this year. AdvertisementAs analysts clash over when the next recession will befall the US, large swaths of the country are still bogged down in the previous downturn. The Federal Reserve Bank of New YorkBut this trend is especially distinct in the Northeast, a region that's home to particularly impacted metros. By this indicator, a recession started in October, confirmed further by accelerating job erosion, Danielle DiMartino Booth said.
Persons: , Danielle DiMartino Booth, it's, Frances Donald, Donald, We're, Gary Schilling Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, Service, US metros, QI, Bloomberg, Wall Street Locations: COVID, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Rust Belt, California, Hawaii, New Orleans, Honolulu, San Francisco, Cleveland , Detroit, Pittsburgh, Northeast, New York City, New York
The US economy may already be mired in recession, Danielle DiMartino Booth told Bloomberg TV. Downside labor revisions and rising job losses indicate a downturn has hit, the QI Research CEO said. AdvertisementThe US is already mired in recessionary downturn, and rising job losses prove it, veteran forecaster Danielle DiMartino Booth told Bloomberg TV. AdvertisementBy that standard, the rule was triggered in October of last year, according to recently published labor revisions through the third quarter of 2023, indicating job losses of 192,000. Other analysts have also projected rising recession risk, hand-in-hand with a labor market fallout.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth, , there's, it's, Booth, Goldman Sachs, payrolls, David Rosenberg Organizations: Bloomberg TV, Downside, QI, Service, Bloomberg, Fox Business
The US economy already looks like it's in a recession, according to Danielle DiMartino Booth. The chief strategist of QI Research pointed to weakness in the job market, with layoffs rising. She said that puts the economy in a precarious state, especially with US debt-taking already looking similar to China's. The chief strategist of QI Research has warned for months that the US economy is already in a recession, despite Wall Street's upbeat outlook for a soft-landing. But a downturn is already evident in the weakening job market, Booth said, pointing recent downward revisions in monthly job growth figures.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth, , Booth Organizations: QI, Service, QI Research Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailQI Research Danielle DiMartino Booth talks the labor market and impact of inflationHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Investors are so excited about stocks that they're missing the bigger, grimmer economic picture. Danielle DiMartino Booth said the complacency reminded her of the dot-com and housing bubbles. She pointed to a surge in bankruptcies and mounting pressures in the bank and real estate sectors. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. DiMartino Booth has made it clear she's in the latter camp for now.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth, We're, BNN, DiMartino Booth, Biden, Sam, Jeremy Siegel, Paul Krugman, David Rosenberg, Jeremy Grantham Organizations: Service, QI Research, BNN Bloomberg, Nasdaq, Dallas Fed, Federal Reserve Locations: Wall, Silicon
When asked how the Fed plans for the worst case scenarios on the geopolitical front, he first responded in Fedspeak. At every Fed policy meeting, he said, “our staff works up six or seven or eight alternative simulations,” he said. The market impact: The policy scenarios considered by the Fed are quite sensitive. That’s likely why when Powell was asked about the scenarios the Fed had most recently considered, he stayed mum. They’re posting elaborate TikToks where they pretend that the McDonald’s Grimace shake has killed them, of course.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell didn’t, , they’re, Joe Brusuelas, Stacey Tevlin, Ben Bernanke, Philippa Dunne, , Danielle DiMartino Booth, That’s, Powell, “ I’m, Joe Biden, Biden, “ Bidenomics, Elisabeth Buchwald, Bryan Mena, Read, McDonald’s, Scottie Andrew, Grimace’s, Ronald McDonald, Andrews, it’s, Matthew Prince, “ It’s Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal, European Central Bank, Federal, RSM, , Fed, Bloomberg, TLR, QI Research, Federal Reserve, Chapman University, CNN Locations: New York, Portugal, Fedspeak, China, Chicago, America, California,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWorking Americans have bigger life expenses to worry about than egg prices: QI's DiMartino BoothDanielle DiMartino Booth, QI Research CEO, and Daniel Greenhaus, Solus Alternative Asset Management managing director, join 'Last Call' to break down the latest round of CPI numbers and discuss how those numbers may play into the Fed's next rate hike decision.
Persons: DiMartino Booth Danielle DiMartino Booth, Daniel Greenhaus Organizations: Research, Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Danielle DiMartino Booth and Daniel GreenhausDanielle DiMartino Booth, QI Research CEO, and Daniel Greenhaus, Solus Alternative Asset Management managing director, join 'Last Call' to break down the latest round of CPI numbers and discuss how those numbers may play into the Fed's next rate hike decision.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth, Daniel Greenhaus Danielle DiMartino Booth, Daniel Greenhaus Organizations: Research, Asset Management
The Federal Reserve enacts monetary policies to stabilize prices and maximize employment in the U.S. economy. These dueling goals are known as the dual mandate. For example, if prices are too hot, the Fed may vote to raise interest rates to influence a decrease in borrowing. Other experts argue that the dual mandate remains key to keeping the U.S. economy safe and stable. Watch this video to see how the Fed tries to strike a near-impossible balance to promote both parts of the dual mandate.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth, Thomas Hoenig, David Wessel Organizations: QI Research, CNBC, International Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Hutchins, Brookings Institution Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Danielle DiMartino Booth, Gerald Storch, and Jan KniffenDanielle DiMartino Booth, QI Research CEO, Gerald Storch, Storch Advisors CEO, and Jan Kniffen, J. Rogers Kniffen WWE CEO, join 'Last Call' to discuss the recent stock slides in luxury retail, the state of the high-end consumer, and more.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth, Gerald Storch, Jan Kniffen Danielle DiMartino Booth, Jan Kniffen, J, Rogers Kniffen Organizations: Research, Storch Advisors, Rogers Kniffen WWE
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConsumers are stressed at every level, says fmr. Toys "R" Us CEO Gerald StorchDanielle DiMartino Booth, QI Research CEO, Gerald Storch, Storch Advisors CEO, and Jan Kniffen, J. Rogers Kniffen WWE CEO, join 'Last Call' to discuss the recent stock slides in luxury retail, the state of the high-end consumer, and more.
Persons: Gerald Storch Danielle DiMartino Booth, Gerald Storch, Jan Kniffen, J, Rogers Kniffen Organizations: Consumers, Research, Storch Advisors, Rogers Kniffen WWE
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